Men - Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2013 - 2014 - 2015



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.


RankSchool Regional ChampionTop 5Top 10Top 20Advance to Nationals
1 Michigan State Great Lakes 72.9% 99.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2 Iowa State Midwest 12.5% 89.7% 99.5% 100.0% 100.0%
3 Arkansas South Central 9.1% 81.5% 97.8% 100.0% 100.0%
4 Georgetown Mid-Atlantic 2.9% 57.0% 89.6% 99.5% 100.0%
5 Wisconsin Great Lakes 0.6% 29.8% 77.1% 99.0% 100.0%
6 Michigan Great Lakes 0.9% 9.3% 53.2% 96.7%
7 Oregon West 0.8% 31.1% 71.5% 96.8% 99.8%
8 New Mexico Mountain 0.7% 40.5% 82.0% 98.7% 100.0%
9 West Virginia Mid-Atlantic 0.2% 13.4% 53.8% 94.2% 100.0%
10 Colorado Mountain 0.1% 17.1% 56.8% 94.2% 99.5%
11 Stanford West 0.1% 11.9% 49.6% 93.1% 99.5%
12 Boise State West 0.1% 7.1% 39.9% 93.1% 98.5%
13 North Carolina Southeast 0.0% 6.1% 34.5% 85.7% 99.4%
14 Iona Northeast 1.3% 19.8% 83.0% 90.6%
15 Virginia Southeast 4.6% 29.0% 82.1% 99.1%
16 William and Mary Southeast 3.4% 22.4% 63.9% 74.4%
17 Florida State South 0.0% 1.7% 15.4% 74.8% 100.0%
18 Baylor South Central 0.4% 9.8% 66.0% 97.3%
19 Washington West 1.0% 10.1% 56.7% 92.6%
20 Vanderbilt South 1.2% 10.1% 52.3% 99.9%
21 Providence Northeast 0.1% 3.8% 41.4% 68.3%
22 North Carolina St. Southeast 0.6% 6.1% 46.3% 90.6%
23 Texas A&M South Central 0.0% 0.1%
24 Arizona State West 0.1% 1.2% 27.7% 69.6%
25 Dartmouth Northeast 0.1% 3.6% 51.4%
26 Boston College Northeast 0.3% 14.5% 57.3%
27 Syracuse Northeast 0.0% 1.5% 23.3% 83.5%
28 Ohio State Great Lakes 0.1% 1.7% 27.1% 88.8%
29 UCLA West 0.1% 1.5% 22.6% 72.1%
30 BYU Mountain 0.0% 1.3% 16.6% 58.7%
31 Minnesota Midwest 0.1% 1.9% 26.6% 98.1%
32 Penn State Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 1.2% 11.1% 30.3%
33 Princeton Mid-Atlantic 0.3% 7.4% 28.2%
34 Virginia Tech Southeast 0.0% 0.3% 5.9% 16.7%
35 Notre Dame Great Lakes 0.2% 8.8% 65.7%
36 California West 0.1% 5.0% 18.9%
37 Portland West 0.2% 3.9% 17.1%
38 Toledo Great Lakes 0.0% 0.4% 10.9% 74.9%
39 Lamar South Central 0.0% 2.4% 17.0%
40 SMU South Central 0.1% 2.2% 29.5%
41 Eastern Michigan Great Lakes 0.3% 3.4%
42 Wyoming Mountain 0.0% 0.5% 4.7%
43 Loyola Marymount West 0.1% 1.3%
44 Connecticut Northeast 0.1%
45 Rice South Central 0.1% 0.6%
46 Missouri Midwest 0.1% 2.6%
47 Indiana Great Lakes 0.0% 1.0% 16.7%
48 Butler Great Lakes 0.0% 0.5% 8.6%
49 Miss State South 0.0%
50 Northern Arizona Mountain 0.3% 3.1%
51 Alabama South 0.3% 3.0%
52 Cornell Northeast 0.2% 3.7%
53 Yale Northeast 0.4% 8.1%
54 New Hampshire Northeast 0.0% 0.6% 8.1%
55 Oklahoma State Midwest 0.2% 6.4%
56 Columbia Northeast 0.5% 10.1%
57 Arizona West 0.1% 2.0%
58 Bradley Midwest 0.4% 5.8%
59 San Francisco West 0.0% 0.8%
60 Furman Southeast 0.0% 0.5%
61 Eastern Kentucky Southeast 0.0% 0.3%
62 Villanova Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 2.0%
63 Wake Forest Southeast 0.1%
64 Tulsa Midwest 0.4% 8.5%
65 UC Davis West 0.0% 0.5%
66 Tennessee South
67 Elon Southeast 0.0% 0.3%
68 Kansas State Midwest 0.1%
69 Washington St. West 0.2%
70 Brown Northeast 0.1% 2.8%
71 Harvard Northeast 0.1% 4.5%
72 Florida South 0.8%
73 South Dakota Midwest 0.0%
74 Lipscomb South 1.0%
75 Eastern Washington West
76 Utah Mountain 0.0% 0.8%
77 Colorado St. Mountain 0.4%
78 Miami (Ohio) Great Lakes 0.1%
79 Northwestern Midwest
80 Coastal Carolina Southeast
81 Purdue Great Lakes 0.0% 2.2%
82 Oklahoma Midwest 0.1%
83 UC Riverside West
84 Weber State Mountain 0.1%
85 Boston U. Northeast 0.0%
86 Auburn South 0.5%
87 Gonzaga West
88 UMKC Midwest
89 Stony Brook Northeast
90 Mid. Tenn. State South 0.1%
91 Kentucky Southeast
92 Texas South Central 0.3%
93 Penn Mid-Atlantic 0.2%
94 Texas Tech Mountain
95 Lehigh Mid-Atlantic
96 Duke Southeast 0.1%
97 Nevada Mountain
98 Illinois Midwest 0.1%
99 Western Michigan Great Lakes
100 Cal Poly West 0.1%
101 James Madison Southeast
102 North Dakota St. Midwest
103 North Texas South Central
104 UCF South
105 Central Michigan Great Lakes
106 Duquesne Mid-Atlantic 0.0%
107 Western Kentucky Southeast
108 Montana State Mountain 0.0%
109 Louisville Southeast
110 Sacramento St. West
111 La Salle Mid-Atlantic
112 Illinois State Midwest
113 Northern Illinois Midwest
114 Albany Northeast
115 Southern Illinois Midwest 0.0%
116 Georgia South
117 Wichita State Midwest
118 Northeastern Northeast
119 Idaho State Mountain
120 Georgia Tech South
121 Appalachian State Southeast
122 Marquette Great Lakes
123 North Florida South
124 Southern Utah Mountain
125 Arkansas State South Central
126 Texas-Arlington South Central
127 Stephen F. Austin South Central 0.0%
128 UC Santa Barbara West
129 Air Force Mountain
130 Morgan State Mid-Atlantic
131 Pittsburgh Mid-Atlantic
132 Army Northeast
133 Bowling Green Great Lakes
134 Kansas Midwest
135 Navy Mid-Atlantic
136 Bucknell Mid-Atlantic
137 Cal St. Northridge West
138 Fresno State West
139 South Carolina Southeast
140 Northern Iowa Midwest
141 Northern Colorado Mountain
142 Seattle U. West
143 Oregon State West
144 Nebraska Midwest
145 Maryland-Eastern Shore Mid-Atlantic
146 Portland State West
147 USC West
148 Loyola (Ill.) Midwest
149 Liberty Southeast
150 UMBC Mid-Atlantic
151 Utah State Mountain
152 Rutgers Mid-Atlantic
153 Iowa Midwest 0.0%
154 Clemson Southeast
155 Davidson Southeast
156 Belmont South
157 UAB South
158 UMass Amherst Northeast
159 Rhode Island Northeast
160 George Mason Southeast
161 Utah Valley Mountain
162 Sacred Heart Northeast
163 Creighton Midwest
164 Saint Louis Midwest
165 South Dakota St. Midwest
166 Chattanooga South
167 Idaho West
168 Montana Mountain
169 Indiana State Great Lakes
170 Kent State Great Lakes
171 Richmond Southeast
172 Quinnipiac Northeast
173 Mississippi South
174 South Florida South
175 UTSA South Central
176 Drake Midwest
177 Marist Northeast
178 San Diego West
179 LSU South Central
180 East Tenn. St. South
181 Delaware Mid-Atlantic
182 Memphis South
183 Campbell Southeast
184 Vermont Northeast
185 Buffalo Northeast
186 SE Missouri Midwest
187 North Dakota Midwest
188 Florida A&M South
189 Georgia State South
190 Youngstown St. Great Lakes
191 Xavier (Ohio) Great Lakes
192 Southern Miss. South
193 New Mexico St. Mountain
194 Houston South Central
195 Maryland Mid-Atlantic
196 Rider Mid-Atlantic
197 Sam Houston St. South Central
198 Eastern Illinois Midwest
199 McNeese State South Central
200 Illinois-Chicago Midwest
201 Holy Cross Northeast
202 IUPUI Great Lakes
203 Central Connecticut Northeast
204 San Diego St. West
205 Samford South
206 Tulane South Central
207 Charlotte Southeast
208 Radford Southeast
209 UNLV West
210 Cal St. Fullerton West
211 St. Francis (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
212 Alabama State South
213 Ohio U. Great Lakes
214 Florida Atlantic South
215 Fordham Northeast
216 Col. of Charleston Southeast
217 Oakland Great Lakes
218 Akron Great Lakes
219 TCU South Central
220 UL-Lafayette South Central
221 Monmouth Mid-Atlantic
222 Dayton Great Lakes
223 Wis.-Milwaukee Great Lakes
224 Morehead State Southeast
225 Arkansas-Little Rock South Central
226 High Point Southeast
227 San Jose St. West
228 St. Bonaventure Northeast
229 George Washington Mid-Atlantic
230 Florida Gulf Coast South
231 East Carolina Southeast
232 Canisius Northeast
233 Kennesaw State South
234 Long Beach St. West
235 DePaul Midwest
236 Murray State Southeast
237 St. Mary's (Cal.) West
238 UNC-Asheville Southeast
239 Binghamton Northeast
240 Towson Mid-Atlantic
241 Bryant Northeast
242 Valparaiso Great Lakes
243 American Mid-Atlantic
244 Santa Clara West
245 Pepperdine West
246 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
247 Texas A&M-CC South Central
248 Fairfield Northeast
249 South Alabama South
250 Texas State South Central
251 Loyola (Md.) Mid-Atlantic
252 Detroit Great Lakes
253 Hartford Northeast
254 IPFW Great Lakes
255 UC Irvine West
256 UNC-Wilmington Southeast
257 Siena Northeast
258 Cincinnati Great Lakes
259 Pacific West
260 VCU Southeast
261 Lafayette Mid-Atlantic
262 Houston Baptist South Central
263 SIU-Edwardsville Midwest
264 Jacksonville South
265 Howard Mid-Atlantic
266 Wright State Great Lakes
267 Troy South
268 Wagner Northeast
269 St. John's Northeast
270 Stetson South
271 Mercer South
272 Ball State Great Lakes
273 Central Arkansas South Central
274 Evansville Great Lakes
275 Western Carolina Southeast
276 UNC-Greensboro Southeast
277 Manhattan Northeast
278 Maine Northeast
279 Temple Mid-Atlantic
280 Hampton Southeast
281 Seton Hall Mid-Atlantic
282 Va. Military Institute Southeast
283 UTEP Mountain
284 Mount St. Mary's Mid-Atlantic
285 Robert Morris Mid-Atlantic
286 Marshall Mid-Atlantic
287 Wis.-Green Bay Great Lakes
288 Delaware State Mid-Atlantic
289 Austin Peay South
290 Colgate Northeast
291 Cleveland St. Great Lakes
292 Missouri State Midwest
293 Citadel Southeast
294 Northwestern St. South Central
295 USC Upstate Southeast
296 Texas-Pan American South Central
297 Winthrop Southeast
298 Hawaii West
299 SE Louisiana South Central
300 Gardner-Webb Southeast
301 Niagara Northeast
302 Charleston Southern Southeast
303 Cal St. Bakersfield West
304 Wofford Southeast
305 Hofstra Northeast
306 Georgia Southern South
307 Miami South
308 South Carolina St. Southeast
309 Western Illinois Midwest
310 Tennessee Tech South
311 Norfolk State Southeast
312 Jacksonville St. South
313 N. Carolina A&T Southeast
314 Tennessee-Martin South
315 Bethune-Cookman South
316 Oral Roberts Midwest
317 Coppin State Mid-Atlantic
318 Tennessee St. South
319 Florida Int'l South
320 Presbyterian Southeast
321 Nicholls State South Central
322 UL-Monroe South Central
323 Prairie View South Central
324 Longwood Southeast
325 St. Francis (N.Y.) Northeast
326 N.C. Central Southeast
327 Texas Southern South Central
328 Grambling South Central
329 Alabama A&M South
330 Fairleigh Dickinson Mid-Atlantic
331 Alcorn State South
332 New Orleans South Central
333 New Jersey Institute Mid-Atlantic
334 LIU Brooklyn Northeast
335 Louisiana Tech South Central
336 Chicago State Midwest
337 Southern South Central
338 Mississippi Valley South
339 St. Peter's Mid-Atlantic
340 Savannah State South
341 Jackson State South
342 100.0%
343 100.0%
344 100.0%
345 100.0%
346 100.0%
347 100.0%
348 100.0%
349 100.0%
350 100.0%
351 100.0%
352 100.0%
353 100.0%
354 100.0%
355 100.0%
356 100.0%
357 100.0%
358 100.0%
359 100.0%
360 100.0%
361 100.0%
362 100.0%
363 100.0%
364 100.0%
365 100.0%
366 100.0%
367 100.0%
368 100.0%
369 100.0%
370 100.0%
371 100.0%
372 100.0%
373 100.0%
374 100.0%
375 100.0%
376 100.0%
377 100.0%
378 100.0%
379 100.0%
380 100.0%
381 100.0%
382 100.0%
383 100.0%
384 100.0%
385 100.0%
386 100.0%
387 100.0%
388 100.0%
389 100.0%
390 100.0%
391 100.0%
392 100.0%
393 100.0%
394 100.0%
395 100.0%
396 100.0%
397 100.0%
398 100.0%
399 100.0%
400 100.0%